全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Agriculture under climate change in China: mitigate the risks by grasping the emerging opportunities.

G2TT

来源类型	Article
规范类型	其他
DOI	10.1080/10807039.2014.955392
	Agriculture under climate change in China: mitigate the risks by grasping the emerging opportunities.
	Tian Z; Liang Z; Sun L; Zhong H; Qiu H; Fischer G; Zhao S
发表日期	2015
出处	Human and Ecological Risk Assessment 21 (5): 1259-1276
出版年	2015
语种	英语
摘要	There have been increasing concerns on risks and uncertainty posed by climate change to China's future crop production. The existing assessments using popular process-based and site-specific crop growing models highlight the significant extent of climate-induced yield reduction, and thus suggest a scary downward risk for China's future food production. Surprisingly, much less attention has been paid to exploring the potential gains that may also be brought by climate change. To address this imbalance, we develop an integrated agro-climatic and ecological assessment tool that is capable of detecting the shifts of multicropping opportunities under different climate change scenarios. The application of this tool to the context of China reveals significant extension of multicropping opportunities brought in by climate change. We argue for an active adaptation to such emerging opportunities through both market and policy incentives, because the aggregate gain of such an adaptation is sufficient to outweigh the loss as revealed by the existing assessments.
主题	Water (WAT)
关键词	agriculture China climate change food security multicropping
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11505/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130399
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Tian Z,Liang Z,Sun L,et al. Agriculture under climate change in China: mitigate the risks by grasping the emerging opportunities.. 2015.