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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1016/j.atmosenv.2016.05.021
Exploring synergies between climate and air quality policies using long-term global and regional emission scenarios.
Radu OB; van den Berg M; Klimont Z; Deetman S; Janssens-Maenhout G; Muntean M; Heyes C; Dentener F
发表日期2016
出处Atmospheric Environment 140: 577-591
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要In this paper, we present ten scenarios developed using the IMAGE framework (Integrated Model to Assess the Global Environment) to explore how different assumptions on future climate and air pollution policies influence emissions of greenhouse gases and air pollutants. These scenarios describe emission developments in 26 world regions for the 21st century, using a matrix of climate and air pollution policies. For climate policy, the study uses a baseline resulting in forcing levels slightly above RCP6.0 and an ambitious climate policy scenario similar to RCP2.6. For air pollution, the study explores increasingly tight emission standards, ranging from no improvement, current legislation and three variants assuming further improvements. For all pollutants, the results show that more stringent control policies are needed after 2030 to prevent a rise in emissions due to increased activities and further reduce emissions. The results also show that climate mitigation policies have the highest impact on SO2 and NOX emissions, while their impact on BC and OC emissions is relatively low, determined by the overlap between greenhouse gas and air pollutant emission sources. Climate policy can have important co-benefits; a 10% decrease in global CO2 emissions by 2100 leads to a decrease of SO2 and NOX emissions by about 10% and 5%, respectively compared to 2005 levels. In most regions, low levels of air pollutant emissions can also be achieved by solely implementing stringent air pollution policies. The largest differences across the scenarios are found in Asia and other developing regions, where a combination of climate and air pollution policy is needed to bring air pollution levels below those of today.
主题Air Quality & ; Greenhouse Gases (AIR) ; Mitigation of Air Pollution (MAG)
关键词Climate policy Air pollution policy Scenarios Co-benefits Representative concentration pathways
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13245/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130460
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GB/T 7714
Radu OB,van den Berg M,Klimont Z,et al. Exploring synergies between climate and air quality policies using long-term global and regional emission scenarios.. 2016.
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