| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.5194/acp-16-5685-2016 |
| Air quality impacts of European wildfire emissions in a changing climate. | |
| Knorr W; Dentener F; Hantson S; Jiang L; Klimont Z; Arneth A | |
| 发表日期 | 2016 |
| 出处 | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 16 (9): 5685-5703 |
| 出版年 | 2016 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Wildfires are not only a threat to human property and a vital element of many ecosystems, but also an important source of air pollution. In this study, we first review the available evidence for a past or possible future climate-driven increase in wildfire emissions in Europe. We then introduce an ensemble of model simulations with a coupled wildfire–dynamic-ecosystem model, which we combine with published spatial maps of both wildfire and anthropogenic emissions of several major air pollutants to arrive at air pollutant emission projections for several time slices during the 21st century. The results indicate moderate wildfire-driven emission increases until 2050, but there is a possibility of large increases until the last decades of this century at high levels of climate change. We identify southern and north-eastern Europe as potential areas where wildfires may surpass anthropogenic pollution sources during the summer months. Under a scenario of high levels of climate change (Representative Concentration Pathway, RCP, 8.5), emissions from wildfires in central and northern Portugal and possibly southern Italy and along the west coast of the Balkan peninsula are projected to reach levels that could affect annual mean particulate matter concentrations enough to be relevant for meeting WHO air quality targets. |
| 主题 | Air Quality & ; Greenhouse Gases (AIR) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14103/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130480 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Knorr W,Dentener F,Hantson S,et al. Air quality impacts of European wildfire emissions in a changing climate.. 2016. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| acp-16-5685-2016.pdf（1784KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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