Gateway to Think Tanks
来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1007/s11518-016-5303-7 |
Assessing historical realibility of the agent-based model of the global energy system. | |
Shchiptsova A; Zhao J; Grubler A; Kryazhimskiy A; Ma T | |
发表日期 | 2016 |
出处 | Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering 25 (3): 326-350 |
出版年 | 2016 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This study looks at the historical reliability of the agent-based model of the global energy system. We present a mathematical framework for the agent-based model calibration and sensitivity analysis based on historical observations. Simulation consistency with the historical record is measured as a distance between two vectors of data points and inference on parameter values is done from the probability distribution of this stochastic estimate. Proposed methodology is applied to the model of the global energy system. Some model properties and limitations followed from calibration results are discussed. |
主题 | Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA) ; Transitions to New Technologies (TNT) |
关键词 | agent-based modeling calibration energy system |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/12305/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130488 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Shchiptsova A,Zhao J,Grubler A,et al. Assessing historical realibility of the agent-based model of the global energy system.. 2016. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
anna_zhao_JSSSE%28in(1044KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。