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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1007/s11518-016-5303-7
Assessing historical realibility of the agent-based model of the global energy system.
Shchiptsova A; Zhao J; Grubler A; Kryazhimskiy A; Ma T
发表日期2016
出处Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering 25 (3): 326-350
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要This study looks at the historical reliability of the agent-based model of the global energy system. We present a mathematical framework for the agent-based model calibration and sensitivity analysis based on historical observations. Simulation consistency with the historical record is measured as a distance between two vectors of data points and inference on parameter values is done from the probability distribution of this stochastic estimate. Proposed methodology is applied to the model of the global energy system. Some model properties and limitations followed from calibration results are discussed.
主题Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA) ; Transitions to New Technologies (TNT)
关键词agent-based modeling calibration energy system
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/12305/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130488
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Shchiptsova A,Zhao J,Grubler A,et al. Assessing historical realibility of the agent-based model of the global energy system.. 2016.
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