| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.08.002 |
| Climate and human development impacts on municipal water demand: A spatially-explicit global modeling framework. | |
| Parkinson S; Johnson N; Jones B; van Vliet M; Djilali N | |
| 发表日期 | 2016 |
| 出处 | Environmental Modelling & Software 85: 266-278 |
| 出版年 | 2016 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Municipal water systems provide crucial services for human well-being, and will undergo a major transformation this century following global technological, socioeconomic and environmental changes. Future demand scenarios integrating these drivers over multi-decadal planning horizons are needed to develop effective adaptation strategies. This paper presents a new long-term scenario modeling framework that projects future daily municipal water demand at a 1/8° global spatial resolution. The methodology incorporates improved representations of important demand drivers such as urbanization and climate change. The framework is applied across multiple future socioeconomic and climate scenarios to explore municipal water demand uncertainties over the 21st century. The scenario analysis reveals that achieving a low-carbon development pathway can potentially reduce global municipal water demands in 2060 by 2–4%, although the timing and scale of impacts vary significantly with geographic location. |
| 主题 | Energy (ENE) |
| 关键词 | Water demand Long-term planning Urbanization Climate change impacts Integrated assessment modeling Downscaling |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13792/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130514 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Parkinson S,Johnson N,Jones B,et al. Climate and human development impacts on municipal water demand: A spatially-explicit global modeling framework.. 2016. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| climate_development_（3010KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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