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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.4054/DemRes.2016.34.2 |
Does selection of mortality model make a difference in projecting population ageing? | |
Scherbov S | |
发表日期 | 2016 |
出处 | Demographic Research 34 (2): 39-62 |
出版年 | 2016 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Background: In low mortality countries, assessing future ageing depends to a large extent on scenario of future mortality reduction at old age. Often in population projections mortality reduction is implemented via life expectancy increases that do not specify mortality change at specific age groups. The selection of models that translate life expectancy into age-specific mortality rates may be of great importance for projecting the older age groups of future populations and indicators of ageing. |
主题 | World Population (POP) |
关键词 | forecasting ageing mortality models population aging population projections |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11692/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130532 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Scherbov S. Does selection of mortality model make a difference in projecting population ageing?. 2016. |
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Does%20selection%20o(302KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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