| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.5194/hess-20-4143-2016 |
| A seawater desalination scheme for global hydrological models. | |
| Hanasaki N; Yoshikawa S; Kakinuma K; Kanae S | |
| 发表日期 | 2016 |
| 出处 | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 20 (10): 4143-4157 |
| 出版年 | 2016 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Seawater desalination is a practical technology for providing fresh water to coastal arid regions. Indeed, the use of desalination is rapidly increasing due to growing water demand in these areas and decreases in production costs due to technological advances. In this study, we developed a model to estimate the areas where seawater desalination is likely to be used as a major water source and the likely volume of production. The model was designed to be incorporated into global hydrological models (GHMs) that explicitly include human water usage. The model requires spatially detailed information on climate, income levels, and industrial and municipal water use, which represent standard input/output data in GHMs. The model was applied to a specific historical year (2005) and showed fairly good reproduction of the present geographical distribution and national production of desalinated water in the world. The model was applied globally to two periods in the future (2011-2040 and 2041-2070) under three distinct socioeconomic conditions, i.e., SSP (shared socioeconomic pathway) 1, SSP2, and SSP3. The results indicate that the usage of seawater desalination will have expanded considerably in geographical extent, and that production will have increased by 1.4-2.1-fold in 2011-2040 compared to the present (from 2.8×109 m3 yr-1 in 2005 to 4.0-6.0×109 m3 yr-1/, and 6.7-17.3-fold in 2041-2070 (from 18.7 to 48.6×109 m3 yr-1/. The estimated global costs for production for each period are USD 1.1-10.6×109 (0.002-0.019% of the total global GDP), USD 1.6-22.8×109 (0.001-0.020 %), and USD 7.5-183.9×109 (0.002-0.100 %), respectively. The large spreads in these projections are primarily attributable to variations within the socioeconomic scenarios. |
| 主题 | Water (WAT) |
| 关键词 | Desalination Geographical distribution Hydrology Seawater Water filtration Desalinated water Hydrological models Municipal water Production cost Seawater desalination Socio-economic conditions Standard input Technological advances |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13931/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130579 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hanasaki N,Yoshikawa S,Kakinuma K,et al. A seawater desalination scheme for global hydrological models.. 2016. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| hess-20-4143-2016.pd（950KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
