| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1139/cjfr-2016-0122 |
| Impacts of global climate change mitigation scenarios on forests and harvesting in Sweden. | |
| Nordström E-M; Forsell N; Lundström A; Korosuo A; Bergh J; Havlik P; Kraxner F | |
| 发表日期 | 2016 |
| 出处 | Canadian Journal of Forest Research 46 (12): 1427-1438 |
| 出版年 | 2016 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Under climate change, the importance of biomass resources is likely to increase and new approaches are needed to analyze future material and energy use of biomass globally and locally. Using Sweden as an example, we present an approach that combines global and national land-use and forest models to analyze impacts of climate change mitigation ambitions on forest management and harvesting in a specific country. National forest impact analyses in Sweden have traditionally focused on supply potential with little reference to international market developments. In this study, we use the global greenhouse gas concentration scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change to estimate global biomass demand and assess potential implications on harvesting and biodiversity in Sweden. The results show that the short-term demand for wood is close to the full harvesting potential in Sweden in all scenarios. Under high bioenergy demand, harvest levels are projected to stay high over a longer time and particularly impact the harvest levels of pulpwood. The area of old forest in the managed landscape may decrease. This study highlights the importance of global scenarios when discussing national-level analysis and pinpoints trade-offs that policy making in Sweden may need to tackle in the near future. |
| 主题 | Energy (ENE) ; Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) |
| 关键词 | orest impact analysis, forest product demand, scenario analysis, Swedish National Forest Inventory (NFI), wood supply potential |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13841/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130589 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Nordström E-M,Forsell N,Lundström A,et al. Impacts of global climate change mitigation scenarios on forests and harvesting in Sweden.. 2016. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| Impacts%20of%20globa（1849KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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