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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.4236/me.2016.77082 |
Migration Flows and Effects in the CIS Countries—Dynamic Modelling. | |
Tarasyev A; Cao G-Y; Rovenskaya E | |
发表日期 | 2016 |
出处 | Modern Economy 07 (07): 799-814 |
出版年 | 2016 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Labour migration across countries has been playing a key role in the process of economic integration in the countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). The experience of labour migration in CIS appears to be characterized by growing complexity with an increasingly diverse array of countries of origin and destination. The main issues of this paper are: 1) to understand how wage dynamics defined by the labour demand/supply ratio feeds back to migration dynamics, which affects the migration flows between sending and receiving countries over time; 2) to explore how the age structure affects migration flow which in turn effects labour supply in the host country; and 3) to project the potential future migration flow and its impacts on surplus and deficit of labour resource, in order to provide the relevant for migration policies at the both national and regional levels. In this paper we analyse these issues within a dynamic framework; we consider migrant flow into a host region/country at certain moments of time depending on the relationship between expected earnings, costs, and age structure. In addition, we also consider how migration flows interact with natural population growth and age structure in sending and hosting countries. |
主题 | Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA) ; Exploratory and Special projects (ESP) |
关键词 | Migration Flow, Dynamic Modelling, Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), Russia |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13559/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130618 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Tarasyev A,Cao G-Y,Rovenskaya E. Migration Flows and Effects in the CIS Countries—Dynamic Modelling.. 2016. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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