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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.4236/me.2016.77082
Migration Flows and Effects in the CIS Countries—Dynamic Modelling.
Tarasyev A; Cao G-Y; Rovenskaya E
发表日期2016
出处Modern Economy 07 (07): 799-814
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要Labour migration across countries has been playing a key role in the process of economic integration in the countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). The experience of labour migration in CIS appears to be characterized by growing complexity with an increasingly diverse array of countries of origin and destination. The main issues of this paper are: 1) to understand how wage dynamics defined by the labour demand/supply ratio feeds back to migration dynamics, which affects the migration flows between sending and receiving countries over time; 2) to explore how the age structure affects migration flow which in turn effects labour supply in the host country; and 3) to project the potential future migration flow and its impacts on surplus and deficit of labour resource, in order to provide the relevant for migration policies at the both national and regional levels. In this paper we analyse these issues within a dynamic framework; we consider migrant flow into a host region/country at certain moments of time depending on the relationship between expected earnings, costs, and age structure. In addition, we also consider how migration flows interact with natural population growth and age structure in sending and hosting countries.
主题Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA) ; Exploratory and Special projects (ESP)
关键词Migration Flow, Dynamic Modelling, Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), Russia
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13559/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130618
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GB/T 7714
Tarasyev A,Cao G-Y,Rovenskaya E. Migration Flows and Effects in the CIS Countries—Dynamic Modelling.. 2016.
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