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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.5194/nhess-16-1401-2016
Modelling the socio-economic impact of river floods in Europe.
Alfieri L; Feyen L; Salamon P; Thielen J; Bianchi A; Dottori F; Burek P
发表日期2016
出处Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 16 (6): 1401-1411
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要River floods generate a large share of the socio-economic impact of weather-driven hazards worldwide. Accurate assessment of their impact is a key priority for governments, international organization, reinsurance companies and emergency responders. Yet, available databases of flood losses over large domains are often affected by gaps and inconsistencies in reported figures. In this work, a framework to reconstruct the economic damage and population affected by river floods at continental scale is applied. Pan-European river flow simulations are coupled with a high-resolution impact assessment framework based on 2-D inundation modelling. Two complementary methods are compared in their ability to estimate the climatological average flood impact and the impact of each flood event in Europe between 1990 and 2013. The event-based method reveals key features, such as the ability to include changes in time of all three components of risk, namely hazard, exposure and vulnerability. Furthermore, it skilfully reproduces the socio-economic impact of major flood events in the past two decades, including the severe flooding hitting central Europe in June 2013. On the other hand, the integral method is capable of reproducing the average flood losses which occurred in Europe between 1998 and 2009. Strengths and limitations of the proposed model are discussed to stress the large potential for filling in the gaps of current datasets of flood impact.
主题Water (WAT)
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13340/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130624
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Alfieri L,Feyen L,Salamon P,et al. Modelling the socio-economic impact of river floods in Europe.. 2016.
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