| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1038/nclimate3096 |
| Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal. | |
| Schleussner CF; Rogelj J; Schaeffer M; Lissner T; Licker R; Fischer EM; Knutti R; Levermann A | |
| 发表日期 | 2016 |
| 出处 | Nature Climate Change 6 (7): 1-9 |
| 出版年 | 2016 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The Paris Agreement sets a long-term temperature goal of holding the global average temperature increase to well below 2 °C, and pursuing efforts to limit this to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels. Here, we present an overview of science and policy aspects related to this goal and analyse the implications for mitigation pathways. We show examples of discernible differences in impacts between 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming. At the same time, most available low emission scenarios at least temporarily exceed the 1.5 °C limit before 2100. The legacy of temperature overshoots and the feasibility of limiting warming to 1.5 °C, or below, thus become central elements of a post-Paris science agenda. The near-term mitigation targets set by countries for the 2020–2030 period are insufficient to secure the achievement of the temperature goal. An increase in mitigation ambition for this period will determine the Agreement's effectiveness in achieving its temperature goal. |
| 关键词 | Paris Agreement, 1.5 °C warming, mitigation targets |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13431/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130630 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Schleussner CF,Rogelj J,Schaeffer M,et al. Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal.. 2016. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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