| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.envsci.2016.03.007 |
| The role of rainfed agriculture in securing food production in the Nile Basin. | |
| Siderius C; Van Walsum PEV; Roest CWJ; Smit AAMFR; Hellegers PJGJ; Kabat P; Van Ierland EC | |
| 发表日期 | 2016 |
| 出处 | Environmental Science & Policy 61: 14-23 |
| 出版年 | 2016 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | A better use of land and water resources will be necessary to meet the increasing demand for food in the Nile basin. Using a hydro-economic model along the storyline of three future political cooperation scenarios, we show that the future of food production in the Basin lies not in the expansion of intensively irrigated areas and the disputed reallocation of water, but in utilizing the vast forgotten potential of rainfed agriculture in the upstream interior, with supplemental irrigation where needed. Our results indicate that rainfed agriculture can cover more than 75% of the needed increase in food production by the year 2025. Many of the most suitable regions for rainfed agriculture in the Nile basin, however, have been destabilized by recent war and civil unrest. Stabilizing those regions and strengthening intra-basin cooperation via food trade seem to be better strategies than unilateral expansion of upstream irrigation, as the latter will reduce hydropower generation and relocate, rather than increase, food production. |
| 主题 | Water (WAT) ; Directorate (DIR) |
| 关键词 | Nile basin Water dispute Rainfed agriculture Food security Water allocations |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/12711/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130698 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Siderius C,Van Walsum PEV,Roest CWJ,et al. The role of rainfed agriculture in securing food production in the Nile Basin.. 2016. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| The%20role%20of%20ra（1878KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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