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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2015.11.030 |
Greenhouse gas emissions from current and enhanced policies of China until 2030: can emissions peak before 2030. | |
den Elzen M; Fekete H; Hoeho N; Admiraal A; Forsell N; Hof AF; Olivier JGJ; Roelfsma M | |
发表日期 | 2016 |
出处 | Energy Policy 89: 224-236 |
出版年 | 2016 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | In June 2015, China announced its post-2020 reduction targets, its central element being the intention to peak CO2 emissions by 2030 or earlier. China has implemented several policies to reduce its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This study provides emission projections for China up to 2030 given its current policies and selected set of enhanced policies, and compares the results with projected CO2 emission trajectories that are consistent with the announced target for 2030. The projections are based on existing scenarios and energy system and land use model calculations. We project that the 2030 CO2 emission level consistent with a peak in CO2 emissions by 2030 ranges from 11.3 to 11.8 GtCO2. The corresponding total GHG emission level changes from 13.5 to 14.0 GtCO2e in 2030. Current policies are likely not to be sufficient to achieve the 2030 targets as our projected total GHG emission level under current policies ranges from 14.7 to 15.4 GtCO2e by 2030. However, an illustrative set of enhancement policy measures, all of which are related to national priorities, leads to projected GHG emission levels from 13.1 to 13.7 GtCO2 by 2030 - and thus below the levels necessary for peaking CO2 emissions by 2030. |
主题 | Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) |
关键词 | national climate and energy policies climate agreement renewable targets |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11713/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130734 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | den Elzen M,Fekete H,Hoeho N,et al. Greenhouse gas emissions from current and enhanced policies of China until 2030: can emissions peak before 2030.. 2016. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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