全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Scenario analysis of CO2 emissions from China’s civil aviation industry through 2030.

G2TT

来源类型	Article
规范类型	其他
DOI	10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.05.004
	Scenario analysis of CO2 emissions from China’s civil aviation industry through 2030.
	Zhou W; Wang T; Yu Y; Chen D; Zhu B
发表日期	2016
出处	Applied Energy 175: 100-108
出版年	2016
语种	英语
摘要	China's civil aviation industry has undergone a rapid expansion since the early 1980s, which has resulted in drastic increases in aviation fuel consumption and CO2 emissions. The rapid increase in air transport is expected to continue, which poses critical challenges to this industry in terms of carbon emissions reduction. Despite its importance, an analysis of CO2 emissions with the future development of this industry and the impacts of crucial factors is missing from the literature. To bridge this gap, this study conducts scenario analysis of CO2 emissions from this sector through 2030 and assesses the influences from the key influential factors, including the adoption of low carbon jet fuel, the improvement of fuel intensity due to technological advancements of aircraft, and the increase of air traffic demand. The results show that the air traffic demand has the most significant influence on emissions. The technological improvements in fuel intensity and the adoption of biomass-based fuel appear unlikely to reach the ambitious targets for this industry without a disruptive technological breakthrough. A more comprehensive policy framework, including a carbon tax on jet fuel, R&D support to promote fuel efficiency and a carbon offset scheme etc., is proposed
主题	Energy (ENE)
关键词	China Civil aviation CO2 emissions Scenario analysis Emission control Factor analysis Fuels Jet fuel Biomass-based fuels Carbon emissions reductions Influential factors Scenario analysis Technological advancement Technological breakthroughs Technological improvements
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13210/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130760
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhou W,Wang T,Yu Y,等. Scenario analysis of CO2 emissions from China’s civil aviation industry through 2030.. 2016.