| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s10712-016-9374-2 |
| A Review of Recent Updates of Sea-Level Projections at Global and Regional Scales. | |
| Slangen A B A; Adloff F; Jevrejeva S; Leclercq PW; Marzeion B; Wada Y; Winkelmann R | |
| 发表日期 | 2017 |
| 出处 | Surveys in Geophysics 38 (1): 385–406-406 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Sea-level change (SLC) is a much-studied topic in the area of climate research, integrating a range of climate science disciplines, and is expected to impact coastal communities around the world. As a result, this field is rapidly moving, and the knowledge and understanding of processes contributing to SLC is increasing. Here, we discuss noteworthy recent developments in the projection of SLC contributions and in the global mean and regional sea-level projections. For the Greenland Ice Sheet contribution to SLC, earlier estimates have been confirmed in recent research, but part of the source of this contribution has shifted from dynamics to surface melting. New insights into dynamic discharge processes and the onset of marine ice sheet instability increase the projected range for the Antarctic contribution by the end of the century. The contribution from both ice sheets is projected to increase further in the coming centuries to millennia. Recent updates of the global glacier outline database and new global glacier models have led to slightly lower projections for the glacier contribution to SLC (7–17 cm by 2100), but still project the glaciers to be an important contribution. For global mean sea-level projections, the focus has shifted to better estimating the uncertainty distributions of the projection time series, which may not necessarily follow a normal distribution. Instead, recent studies use skewed distributions with longer tails to higher uncertainties. Regional projections have been used to study regional uncertainty distributions, and regional projections are increasingly being applied to specific regions, countries, and coastal areas. |
| 主题 | Water (WAT) |
| 关键词 | Sea-level change Regional sea-level change Sea-level projections Ice sheets Glaciers Terrestrial water storage Mediterranean |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14242/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130842 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Slangen A B A,Adloff F,Jevrejeva S,et al. A Review of Recent Updates of Sea-Level Projections at Global and Regional Scales.. 2017. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| A%20Review%20of%20Re（4314KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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