| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s40710-016-0203-x |
| Building Regional Water-Use Scenarios Consistent with Global Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. | |
| Yao M; Tramberend S; Kabat P; Hutjes RWA; Werners SE | |
| 发表日期 | 2017 |
| 出处 | Environmental Processes 4 (1): 15-31 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Water use projections are crucial to safeguard sustainable access to freshwater in the future. The Water Futures and Solution initiative (WFaS) has developed a set of global water-use scenarios consistent with the recent Assessment Report framework of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, notably the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), and applying a hydro-economic classification that links a socioeconomic dimension with hydrologic complexity. Here we present regional water use projections for the Pearl River Delta (PRD) in China consistent with the WFaS global assessment. Using two different downscaling techniques for developing regional water-use scenarios based on the national assumptions made for China in the WFaS assessment, we investigate PRD’s water-use projections. The findings indicate significant differences in the PRD’s regional development trends compared to China’s national SSP. The regionalized scenarios project lower water use because of the PRD’s lower share of the manufacturing sector in total Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and higher rates of technological improvement, compared to national development trend assumptions. Nevertheless, hydrological challenges remain for the PRD. Its total water use would still increase by up to 54% in 2030 under the regionalized scenarios. Although uncertainties related to scarce data remain, we provide a scientifically sound and feasible method to generate regional scenarios that can capture the regional sectorial water uses development as well as being consistent with national water-use scenarios developed by global assessment. |
| 主题 | Water (WAT) ; Directorate (DIR) |
| 关键词 | Shared socioeconomic pathways Regional Water use Pearl River Delta Water futures and solution initiative Hydro-economic classification |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14229/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130866 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yao M,Tramberend S,Kabat P,et al. Building Regional Water-Use Scenarios Consistent with Global Shared Socioeconomic Pathways.. 2017. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| Building%20Regional%（950KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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