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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1038/NCLIMATE3186 |
Equitable mitigation to achieve the Paris Agreement goals. | |
Robiou du Pont Y; Jeffery ML; Gütschow J; Rogelj J; Christoff P; Meinshausen M | |
发表日期 | 2017 |
出处 | Nature Climate Change 7 (1): 38-43 |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Benchmarks to guide countries in ratcheting-up ambition, climate finance, and support in an equitable manner are critical but not yet determined in the context of the Paris Agreement. We identify global cost-optimal mitigation scenarios consistent with the Paris Agreement goals and allocate their emissions dynamically to countries according to five equity approaches. At the national level, China’s Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) is weaker than any of the five equity approaches, India’s NDC is aligned with two, and the EU’s and the USA’s with three. Most developing countries’ conditional (Intended) NDCs (INDCs) are more ambitious than the average of the five equity approaches under the 2 °C goal. If the G8 and China adopt the average of the five approaches, the gap between conditional INDCs and 2 °C-consistent pathways could be closed. For an equitable, cost-optimal achievement of the 1.5 °C target, emissions in 2030 are 21% lower (relative to 2010) than for 2 °C for the G8 and China combined, and 39% lower for remaining countries. Equitably limiting warming to 1.5 °C rather than 2 °C requires that individual countries achieve mitigation milestones, such as peaking or reaching net-zero emissions, around a decade earlier. |
主题 | Energy (ENE) |
关键词 | Climate-change mitigation, Sustainability, Paris Agreement |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14181/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130892 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Robiou du Pont Y,Jeffery ML,Gütschow J,et al. Equitable mitigation to achieve the Paris Agreement goals.. 2017. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
Equitable_mitigation(527KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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