| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.012 |
| Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways. | |
| Rao S; Smith SJ; Van Dingenen R; Dentener F; Bouwman L; Amann M | |
| 发表日期 | 2017 |
| 出处 | Global Environmental Change 42: 346-358 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Emissions of air pollutants such as sulfur and nitrogen oxides and particulates have significant health impacts as well as effects on natural and anthropogenic ecosystems. These same emissions also can change atmospheric chemistry and the planetary energy balance, thereby impacting global and regional climate. Long-term scenarios for air pollutant emissions are needed as inputs to global climate and chemistry models, and for analysis linking air pollutant impacts across sectors. In this paper we present methodology and results for air pollutant emissions in Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios. We first present a set of three air pollution narratives that describe high, central, and low pollution control ambitions over the 21st century. These narratives are then translated into quantitative guidance for use in integrated assessment models. The resulting pollutant emission trajectories under the SSP scenarios cover a wider range than the scenarios used in previous international climate model comparisons. In the SSP3 and SSP4 scenarios, where economic, institutional and technological limitations slow air quality improvements, global pollutant emissions over the 21st century can be comparable to current levels. Pollutant emissions in the SSP1 scenarios fall to low levels due to the assumption of technological advances and successful global action to control emissions. |
| 主题 | Air Quality & ; Greenhouse Gases (AIR) ; Energy (ENE) ; Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) ; Mitigation of Air Pollution (MAG) |
| 关键词 | Scenarios air pollution integrated assessment models |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13413/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130908 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rao S,Smith SJ,Van Dingenen R,et al. Future air pollution in the Shared Socio-economic Pathways.. 2017. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| Future%20air%20pollu（2459KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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