| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1038/NCLIMATE3222 |
| Forecasting societies’ adaptive capacities through demographic metabolism model. | |
| Lutz W; Muttarak R | |
| 发表日期 | 2017 |
| 出处 | Nature Climate Change 7 (3): 177-184 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | In seeking to understand how future societies will be affected by climate change we cannot simply assume they will be identical to those of today, because climate and societies are both dynamic. Here we propose that the concept of demographic metabolism and the associated methods of multi-dimensional population projections provide an effective analytical toolbox to forecast important aspects of societal change that affect adaptive capacity. We present an example of how the changing educational composition of future populations can influence societies' adaptive capacity. Multi-dimensional population projections form the human core of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways scenarios, and knowledge and analytical tools from demography have great value in assessing the likely implications of climate change on future human well-being. |
| 主题 | World Population (POP) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14395/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130968 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lutz W,Muttarak R. Forecasting societies’ adaptive capacities through demographic metabolism model.. 2017. |
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