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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1007/s10559-017-9917-7 |
Dynamic Merge of the Global and Local Models for Sustainable Land Use Planning with Regard for Global Projections from GLOBIOM and Local Technical–Economic Feasibility and Resource Constraints. | |
Ermolieva T; Ermoliev Y; Havlik P; Mosnier A; Leclere D; Fritz S; Valin H; Obersteiner M | |
发表日期 | 2017 |
出处 | Cybernetics and Systems Analysis 53 (2): 176-185 |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | In order to conduct research at required spatial resolution, we propose a model fusion involving interlinked calculations of regional projections by the global dynamic model GLOBIOM (Global Biosphere Management Model) and robust dynamic downscaling model, based on cross-entropy principle, for deriving spatially resolved projections. The proposed procedure allows incorporating data from satellite images, statistics, expert opinions, as well as data from global land use models. In numerous case studies in China and Ukraine, the approach allowed to estimate local land use and land use change projections corresponding to real trends and expectations. The disaggregated data and projections were used in national models for planning sustainable land use and agricultural development. |
主题 | Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) |
关键词 | global land use model robust downscaling model dynamic model fusion uncertainties local land use projections |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14523/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/130978 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ermolieva T,Ermoliev Y,Havlik P,等. Dynamic Merge of the Global and Local Models for Sustainable Land Use Planning with Regard for Global Projections from GLOBIOM and Local Technical–Economic Feasibility and Resource Constraints.. 2017. |
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