| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1126/science.aah3443 |
| A roadmap for rapid decarbonization. | |
| Rockström J; Gaffney O; Rogelj J; Meinshausen M; Nakicenovic N; Schellnhuber HJ | |
| 发表日期 | 2017 |
| 出处 | Science 355 (6331): 1269-1271 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Although the Paris Agreement's goals (1) are aligned with science (2) and can, in principle, be technically and economically achieved (3), alarming inconsistencies remain between science-based targets and national commitments. Despite progress during the 2016 Marrakech climate negotiations, long-term goals can be trumped by political short-termism. Following the Agreement, which became international law earlier than expected, several countries published mid-century decarbonization strategies, with more due soon. Model-based decarbonization assessments (4) and scenarios often struggle to capture transformative change and the dynamics associated with it: disruption, innovation, and nonlinear change in human behavior. For example, in just 2 years, China's coal use swung from 3.7% growth in 2013 to a decline of 3.7% in 2015 (5). To harness these dynamics and to calibrate for short-term realpolitik, we propose framing the decarbonization challenge in terms of a global decadal roadmap based on a simple heuristic—a “carbon law”—of halving gross anthropogenic carbon-dioxide (CO2) emissions every decade. Complemented by immediately instigated, scalable carbon removal and efforts to ramp down land-use CO2 emissions, this can lead to net-zero emissions around mid-century, a path necessary to limit warming to well below 2°C. |
| 主题 | Energy (ENE) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14498/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131017 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rockström J,Gaffney O,Rogelj J,et al. A roadmap for rapid decarbonization.. 2017. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| Rockstr%C3%B6mEtAl_2（115KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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