全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Multi-model and multi-scenario assessments of Asian water futures: the Water Futures and Solutions (WFaS) initiative.

G2TT

来源类型	Article
规范类型	其他
DOI	10.1002/2016EF000503
	Multi-model and multi-scenario assessments of Asian water futures: the Water Futures and Solutions (WFaS) initiative.
	Satoh Y; Kahil T; Fischer G; Tramberend S; Greve P; Flörke M
发表日期	2017
出处	Earth's Future 5 (7): 823-852
出版年	2017
语种	英语
摘要	This paper presents one of the first quantitative scenario assessments for future water supply and demand in Asia to 2050. The assessment, developed by the Water Futures and Solutions (WFaS) initiative, uses the latest set of global climate change and socioeconomic scenarios and state-of-the-art global hydrological models. In Asia, water demand for irrigation, industry and households is projected to increase substantially in the coming decades (30-40% by 2050 compared to 2010). These changes are expected to exacerbate water stress, especially in the current hotspots such as north India and Pakistan, and north China. By 2050, 20% of the land area in the Asia-Pacific region, with a population of 1.6-2 billion, is projected to experience severe water stress. We find that socioeconomic changes are the main drivers of worsening water scarcity in Asia, with climate change impacts further increasing the challenge into the 21st century. Moreover, a detailed basin-level analysis of the hydro-economic conditions of 40 Asian basins shows that although the coping capacity of all basins is expected to improve due to GDP growth, some basins continuously face severe water challenges. These basins will potentially be home to up to 1.6 billion people by mid-21st century.
主题	Water (WAT)
关键词	Asia water scarcity socioeconomic development climate change hydroeconomic analysis
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14608/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131032
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Satoh Y,Kahil T,Fischer G,et al. Multi-model and multi-scenario assessments of Asian water futures: the Water Futures and Solutions (WFaS) initiative.. 2017.

条目包含的文件
文件名称/大小	资源类型	版本类型	开放类型	使用许可
Satoh_et_al-2017-Ear（2992KB）	智库出版物		限制开放	CC BY-NC-SA	浏览