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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.futures.2016.08.003 |
Scenario projects in Japanese government: Strategic approaches for overcoming psychological and institutional barriers. | |
Kakuwa M | |
发表日期 | 2017 |
出处 | Futures 86: 18-26 |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Scenario planning in the public sector has significant differences from scenario planning in the corporate world. Scenario planning in the government not only tends to be focused on issue of higher complexity and significance to public policy, but also in comparison to people in the private business, public officials have fundamental psychological and institutional constraints in their scenario thinking. These constraints make it difficult for them to contemplate multiple ‘untidy’ futures and imagine the possibility of policy failure: skills which are essential for successful scenario projects. Based on specific characteristics of scenario planning in the Japanese government, this paper contributes on better understanding the challenges and strategic solutions in providing more successful scenario planning in the public sector. Specifically, this paper argues that possible solutions in overcoming these constraints may be to shake public bureaucrats out of their thinking by providing free and open venues of conversation and more importantly through ‘derailment’ exercises. |
主题 | Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA) |
关键词 | scenario planning public sector psychological barriers institutional barriers derailment |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13564/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131034 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kakuwa M. Scenario projects in Japanese government: Strategic approaches for overcoming psychological and institutional barriers.. 2017. |
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Scenario%20projects%(418KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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