| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11750-016-0429-9 |
| A strategic decision support system framework for energy-efficient technology investments. | |
| Cano EL; Moguerza JM; Ermolieva T; Yermoliev Y | |
| 发表日期 | 2017 |
| 出处 | TOP 25 (2): 249-270 |
| 出版年 | 2017 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Energy systems optimization under uncertainty is increasing in its importance due to on-going global de-regulation of the energy sector and the setting of environmental and efficiency targets which generate new multi-agent risks requiring a model-based stakeholders dialogue and new systemic regulations. This paper develops an integrated framework for decision support systems (DSS) for the optimal planning and operation of a building infrastructure under appearing systemic de-regulations and risks. The DSS relies on a new two-stage, dynamic stochastic optimization model with moving random time horizons bounded by stopping time moments. This allows to model impacts of potential extreme events and structural changes emerging from a stakeholders dialogue, which may occur at any moment of the decision making process. The stopping time moments induce endogenous risk aversion in strategic decisions in a form of dynamic VaR-type systemic risk measures dependent on the system’s structure. The DSS implementation via an algebraic modeling language (AML) provides an environment that enforces the necessary stakeholders dialogue for robust planning and operation of a building infrastructure. Such a framework allows the representation and solution of building infrastructure systems optimization problems, to be implemented at the building level to confront rising systemic economic and environmental global changes. |
| 主题 | Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA) ; Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) |
| 关键词 | Decision support systems dynamic stochastic programming uncertainty modelling strategic and operational planning |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13386/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131048 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Cano EL,Moguerza JM,Ermolieva T,et al. A strategic decision support system framework for energy-efficient technology investments.. 2017. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| StratDec.pdf（1148KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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