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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.3390/su9050720 |
Climate Vulnerability and Human Migration in Global Perspective. | |
Grecequet M; DeWaard J; Hellmann JJ | |
发表日期 | 2017 |
出处 | Sustainability 9 (5): p. 720 |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | The relationship between climate change and human migration is not homogenous and depends critically on the differential vulnerability of population and places. If places and populations are not vulnerable, or susceptible, to climate change, then the climate–migration relationship may not materialize. The key to understanding and, from a policy perspective, planning for whether and how climate change will impact future migration patterns is therefore knowledge of the link between climate vulnerability and migration. However, beyond specific case studies, little is known about this association in global perspective. We therefore provide a descriptive, country-level portrait of this relationship. We show that the negative association between climate vulnerability and international migration holds only for countries least vulnerable to climate change, which suggests the potential for trapped populations in more vulnerable countries. However, when analyzed separately by life supporting sector (food, water, health, ecosystem services, human habitat, and infrastructure) and vulnerability dimension (exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity), we detect evidence of a relationship among more, but not the most, vulnerable countries. The bilateral (i.e., country-to-country) migration show that, on average, people move from countries of higher vulnerability to lower vulnerability, reducing global risk by 15%. This finding is consistent with the idea that migration is a climate adaptation strategy. Still, ~6% of bilateral migration is maladaptive with respect to climate change, with some movement toward countries with greater climate change vulnerability |
主题 | World Population (POP) |
关键词 | climate change climate vulnerability international migration migration flows life-supporting sectors ecosystem services |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14622/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131052 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Grecequet M,DeWaard J,Hellmann JJ. Climate Vulnerability and Human Migration in Global Perspective.. 2017. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
sustainability-09-00(1220KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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