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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2017.10.003 |
Glacier loss and hydro-social risks in the Peruvian Andes. | |
Mark BG; French A; Baraer M; Carey M; Bury J; Young KR; Polk MH; Wigmore O | |
发表日期 | 2017 |
出处 | Global and Planetary Change 159: 61-76 |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Accelerating glacier recession in tropical highlands and in the Peruvian Andes specifically is a manifestation of global climate change that is influencing the hydrologic cycle and impacting water resources across a range of socio-environmental systems. Despite predictions regarding the negative effects of long-term glacier decline on water availability, many uncertainties remain regarding the timing and variability of hydrologic changes and their impacts. To improve context-specific understandings of the effects of climate change and glacial melt on water resources in the tropical Andes, this article synthesizes results from long-term transdisciplinary research with new findings from two glacierized Peruvian watersheds to develop and apply a multi-level conceptual framework focused on the coupled biophysical and social determinants of water access and hydro-social risks in these contexts. The framework identifies several interacting variables—hydrologic transformation, land cover change, perceptions of water availability, water use and infrastructure in local and regional economies, and water rights and governance—to broadly assess how glacier change is embedded with social risks and vulnerability across diverse water uses and sectors. The primary focus is on the Santa River watershed draining the Cordillera Blanca to the Pacific. Additional analysis of hydrologic change and water access in the geographically distinct Shullcas River watershed draining the Huaytapallana massif towards the city of Huancayo further illuminates the heterogeneous character of hydrologic risk and vulnerability in the Andes. |
主题 | Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA) ; Risk & ; Resilience (RISK) ; Risk, Policy and Vulnerability (RPV) |
关键词 | Climate change Glacier recession Water resources Hydro-social risk Coupled human-natural systems Peru |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14894/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131147 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mark BG,French A,Baraer M,et al. Glacier loss and hydro-social risks in the Peruvian Andes.. 2017. |
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