| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.ejor.2017.09.012 |
| Scenario-based portfolio model for building robust and proactive strategies. | |
| Vilkkumaa E; Liesiö J; Salo A; Ilmola-Sheppard L | |
| 发表日期 | 2018 |
| 出处 | European Journal of Operational Research 266 (1): 205-220 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | In order to address major changes in the operational environment, companies can (i) define scenarios that characterize different alternatives for this environment, (ii) assign probabilities to these scenarios, (iii) evaluate the performance of strategic actions across the scenarios, and (iv) choose those actions that are expected to perform best. In this paper, we develop a portfolio model to support the selection of such strategic actions when the information about scenario probabilities is possibly incomplete and may depend on the selected actions. This model helps build a strategy that is robust in that it performs relatively well in view of all available probability information, and proactive in that it can help steer the future as reflected by the scenarios toward the desired direction. We also report a case study in which the model helped a group of Nordic, globally operating steel and engineering companies build a platform ecosystem strategy that accounts for uncertainties related to markets, politics, and technological development. |
| 主题 | Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA) |
| 关键词 | Decision support systems Portfolio selection Scenarios Incomplete probabilities |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14832/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131190 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Vilkkumaa E,Liesiö J,Salo A,et al. Scenario-based portfolio model for building robust and proactive strategies.. 2018. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| 1-s2.0-S037722171730（3946KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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