| 来源类型 | Article
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| 规范类型 | 其他
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| DOI | 10.5194/gmd-11-4537-2018
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| A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios. |
| Kim H; Rosa IMD; Alkemade R; Leadley P; Hurtt G; Popp A; van Vuuren D; Anthoni P
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| 发表日期 | 2018
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| 出处 | Geoscientific Model Development 11: 4537-4562
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| 出版年 | 2018
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| 语种 | 英语
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| 摘要 | To support the assessments of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES), the IPBES Expert Group on Scenarios and Models is carrying out an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized scenarios (BES-SIM). The goals of BES-SIM are (1) to project the global impacts of land use and climate change on biodiversity and ecosystem services (i.e. nature's contributions to people) over the coming decades, compared to the 20th century, using a set of common metrics at multiple scales, and (2) to identify model uncertainties and research gaps through the comparisons of projected biodiversity and ecosystem services across models. BES-SIM uses three scenarios combining specific Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) to explore a wide range of land-use change and climate change futures. This paper describes the rationale for scenarios selection, the process of harmonizing input data for land use, based on the second phase of the Land Use Harmonization Project (LUH2), and climate, the biodiversity and ecosystem service models used, the core simulations carried out, the harmonization of the model output metrics, and the treatment of uncertainty. The results of this collaborative modelling project will support the ongoing global assessment of IPBES, strengthen ties between IPBES and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios and modelling processes, advise the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) on its development of a post-2020 strategic plans and conservation goals, and inform the development of a new generation of nature-centred scenarios. |
| 主题 | Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM)
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| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15258/
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| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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| 引用统计 |
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131209
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Kim H,Rosa IMD,Alkemade R,et al. A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios.. 2018.
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