| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s13280-018-1085-0 |
| Identifying hotspots of land use cover change under socioeconomic and climate change scenarios in Mexico. | |
| Mendoza Ponce A; Corona-Núñez RO; Galicia L; Kraxner F | |
| 发表日期 | 2018 |
| 出处 | Ambio 48 (4): 336-349 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This study identifies the hotspots of land use cover change (LUCC) under two socioeconomic and climate change scenarios [business as usual (BAU) and a pessimistic scenario] at the national level for Mexico for three-time periods. Modelling suggests that by 2050 grassland and tropical evergreen forest will be the most endangered ecosystems, having lost 20–33% (BAU) or 43–46% (pessimistic scenario) of their extent in comparison to 1993. Agricultural expansion would be the major driver of LUCC, increasing from 24.4% of the country in 1993 to 30% (BAU) or 34% (pessimistic) in 2050. The most influential variables were distance from roads and human settlements, slope, aridity, and evapotranspiration. The hotspots of LUCC were influenced by environmental constraints and socioeconomic activities more than by climate change. These findings could be used to build proposals to reduce deforestation, including multiple feedbacks among urbanization, industrialization and food consumption. |
| 主题 | Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) |
| 关键词 | Deforestation Drivers Ecosystems Mexico Scenarios |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15419/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131335 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mendoza Ponce A,Corona-Núñez RO,Galicia L,et al. Identifying hotspots of land use cover change under socioeconomic and climate change scenarios in Mexico.. 2018. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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