| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aac319 |
| Global mean temperature indicators linked to warming levels avoiding climate risks. | |
| Pfleiderer P; Schleussner C-F; Mengel M; Rogelj J | |
| 发表日期 | 2018 |
| 出处 | Environmental Research Letters 13 (6): e064015 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | International climate policy uses global mean temperature rise limits as proxies for societally acceptable levels of climate change. These limits are informed by risk assessments which draw upon projections of climate impacts under various levels of warming. Here we illustrate that indicators used to define limits of warming and those used to track the evolution of the Earth System under climate change are not directly comparable. Depending on the methodological approach, differences can be time-variant and up to 0.2??C for a warming of 1.5??C above pre-industrial levels. This might lead to carbon budget overestimates of about 10 years of continued year-2015 emissions, and about a 10% increase in estimated 2100 sea-level rise. Awareness of this definitional mismatch is needed for a more effective communication between scientists and decision makers, as well as between the impact and physical climate science communities. |
| 主题 | Energy (ENE) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15400/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131354 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Pfleiderer P,Schleussner C-F,Mengel M,et al. Global mean temperature indicators linked to warming levels avoiding climate risks.. 2018. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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