| 来源类型 | Article
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| 规范类型 | 其他
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| DOI | 10.1007/s11027-017-9755-y
|
| Climate change effects on pesticide usage reduction efforts: a case study in China. |
| Zhang YQ; McCarl BA; Luan Y; Kleinwechter U
|
| 发表日期 | 2018
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| 出处 | Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 23 (5): 685-701
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| 出版年 | 2018
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| 语种 | 英语
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| 摘要 | China has announced plans to stabilize its pesticide use by 2020. Yet, future climate change will possibly increase the difficulty of meeting this goal. This study uses econometric estimation to explore how climate impacts Chinese pesticide usage and subsequently to project the future implications of climate change on pesticide use. The results indicate that both atmospheric temperature and precipitation increase pesticide usage. Under current climate change projections, pesticide usage will rise by +1.1 to 2.5% by 2040, +2.4 to 9.1% by 2070, and +2.6 to 18.3% by 2100. Linearly extrapolating the results to 2020 yields an approximately 0.5 to 1.2% increase. Thus, to achieve stabilization, more severe actions are needed to address this increase. Possible actions to achieve the reductions needed include using better monitoring and early warning networks so as to permit early responses to climate change-stimulated increases, enhancing information dissemination, altering crop mix, and promoting nonchemical control means. Additionally, given that increased pesticide usage generally increases health and environmental damage, there may be a need to more widely disseminate safe application procedure information while also strengthening compliance with food safety regulations. Furthermore, pest control strategies will need to be capable of evolving as climate change proceeds. Globally, efforts could be made to (1) scale up agrometeorological services, especially in developing countries; (2) use international frameworks to better align the environmental and health standards in developing countries with those in developed countries; and (3) adapt integrated pest management practices to climate change, especially for fruits and vegetables. |
| 主题 | Water (WAT)
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| 关键词 | Climate change
Integrated pest management
Pesticide reduction
Pesticide usage
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| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14780/
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| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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| 引用统计 |
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131424
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Zhang YQ,McCarl BA,Luan Y,et al. Climate change effects on pesticide usage reduction efforts: a case study in China.. 2018.
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