| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1111/sjpe.12140 |
| Democracy, Geography and Model Uncertainty. | |
| Oberdabernig DA; Humer S; Crespo Cuaresma J | |
| 发表日期 | 2018 |
| 出处 | Scottish Journal of Political Economy 65 (2): 154-185 |
| 出版年 | 2018 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We analyse the nature of robust determinants of differences in democracy levels across countries taking explicitly into account uncertainty in the choice of covariates and spatial spillovers. We make use of recent developments in Bayesian model averaging to assess the effect of a large number of potential factors affecting democratisation processes and account for several specifications of spatial linkages. Our results indicate that spatial spillovers are present in the data even after controlling for a large number of geographical covariates. Addressing the determinants of democracy without modelling such spillovers may lead to flawed inference about the nature of the determinants of democratisation processes. In particular, our results emphasise the role played by Muslim religion, population size, trade volumes, English language, natural resource rents, GDP per capita, being a MENA country and the incidence of armed conflicts as factors affecting democracy robustly. |
| 主题 | World Population (POP) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14891/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131429 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Oberdabernig DA,Humer S,Crespo Cuaresma J. Democracy, Geography and Model Uncertainty.. 2018. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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