全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Electricity access and rural development: Review of complex socio-economic dynamics and casual diagrams for more appropriate energy modelling.

G2TT

来源类型	Article
规范类型	其他
DOI	10.1016/j.esd.2018.02.003
	Electricity access and rural development: Review of complex socio-economic dynamics and casual diagrams for more appropriate energy modelling.
	Riva F; Ahlborg H; Hartvigsson E; Pachauri S; Colombo E
发表日期	2018
出处	Energy for Sustainable Development 43: 203-223
出版年	2018
语种	英语
摘要	The causal relationships between electrification and development of poor, rural communities are complex and contextual. The existing literature focuses mainly on the impact of rural electrification and electricity use on local socio-economic development, while the reverse feedbacks of various social and economic changes on electricity demand and supply have not been fully characterized. Most electricity access impact assessments assume linear, one-way effects and linear growth in electricity demand. However, the projections rarely match the reality, creating challenges for rural utilities. From a modelling perspective, the lack of attention to dynamic complexities of the electricity-development nexus prevents the appropriate modelling of electricity demand over time and, hence, informed planning for and sizing of power plants. With the goal to improve modelling of the electricity-development nexus, we undertake a comprehensive review and extensive analysis of the peer-reviewed literature on electricity access and its impact on rural socio-economic development, and vice versa. We characterize and describe the nexus between electricity access and development through graphical casual diagrams that allow us to capture, visualise and discuss the complexity and feedback loops. Based on this, we suggest guidelines for developing appropriate models able to include and simulate such complexities.
主题	Energy (ENE)
关键词	Rural electrification Electricity-development nexus Causality diagrams Energy modelling Complexities
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15137/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131458
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Riva F,Ahlborg H,Hartvigsson E,et al. Electricity access and rural development: Review of complex socio-economic dynamics and casual diagrams for more appropriate energy modelling.. 2018.