全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Socioeconomic factors and future challenges of the goal of limiting the increase in global average temperature to 1.5 °C.

G2TT

来源类型	Article
规范类型	其他
DOI	10.1080/17583004.2018.1477374
	Socioeconomic factors and future challenges of the goal of limiting the increase in global average temperature to 1.5 °C.
	Liu J-Y; Fujimori S; Takahashi K; Hasegawa T; Su X; Masui T
发表日期	2018
出处	Carbon Management 9 (5): 447-457
出版年	2018
语种	英语
摘要	The Paris Agreement has confirmed that the ultimate climate policy goal is to hold the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the increase to 1.5 °C. Moving the goal from 2 °C to 1.5 °C calls for much more concerted effort, and presents greater challenges and costs. This study uses an Asia-Pacific Integrated Model/Computable General Equilibrium (AIM/CGE) to evaluate the role of socioeconomic factors (e.g. technological cost and energy demand assumptions) in changing mitigation costs and achieving the 1.5 °C and 2 °C goals, and to identify the channels through which socioeconomic factors affect mitigation costs. Four families of socioeconomic factors were examined, namely low-carbon energy-supply technologies, end-use energy-efficiency improvements, lifestyle changes and biomass-technology promotion (technology cost reduction and social acceptance promotion). The results show that technological improvement in low-carbon energy-supply technologies is the most important factor in reducing mitigation costs. Moreover, under the constraints of the 1.5 °C goal, the relative effectiveness of other socioeconomic factors, such as energy efficiency improvement, lifestyle changes and biomass-related technology promotion, becomes more important in decreasing mitigation cost in the 1.5 °C scenarios than in the 2 °C scenarios.
主题	Energy (ENE)
关键词	Socioeconomic factors, 1.5 °C goal, Paris Agreement, SSPs, computable general equilibrium (CGE) model
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15341/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131501
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Liu J-Y,Fujimori S,Takahashi K,et al. Socioeconomic factors and future challenges of the goal of limiting the increase in global average temperature to 1.5 °C.. 2018.