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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1038/s41558-018-0230-x |
Risk of increased food insecurity under stringent global climate change mitigation policy. | |
Hasegawa T; Fujimori S; Havlík P; Valin H; Bodirsky BL; Doelman JC; Fellmann T; Kyle P | |
发表日期 | 2018 |
出处 | Nature Climate Change 8 (8): 699-703 |
出版年 | 2018 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Food insecurity can be directly exacerbated by climate change due to crop production-related impacts of warmer and drier conditions that are expected in important agricultural regions. However, efforts to mitigate climate change through comprehensive, economy-wide GHG emissions reductions may also negatively affect food security, due to indirect impacts on prices and supplies of key agricultural commodities. Here we conduct a multiple model assessment on the combined effects of climate change and climate mitigation efforts on agricultural commodity prices, dietary energy availability and the population at risk of hunger. A robust finding is that by 2050, stringent climate mitigation policy, if implemented evenly across all sectors and regions, would have a greater negative impact on global hunger and food consumption than the direct impacts of climate change. The negative impacts would be most prevalent in vulnerable, low-income regions such as sub Saharan Africa and South Asia, where food security problems are already acute. |
主题 | Energy (ENE) ; Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15389/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131507 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hasegawa T,Fujimori S,Havlík P,et al. Risk of increased food insecurity under stringent global climate change mitigation policy.. 2018. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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