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来源类型 | Article |
规范类型 | 其他 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.esr.2019.04.012 |
Analysing future change in the EU's energy innovation system. | |
Kim YJ | |
发表日期 | 2019 |
出处 | Energy Strategy Reviews 24: 279-299 |
出版年 | 2019 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We develop a novel approach for quantitatively analysing future storylines of change by combining econometric analysis and Monte Carlo simulation for four different storylines of change in the EU's energy innovation system. We explore impacts on three key innovation outcomes: patenting (innovation), co-invention (collaboration), and technology cost reduction (diffusion). We find that diverse mixes of policy instruments stimulate collaborative innovation activity. We find that both RD&D expenditure and trade imports support knowledge generation and exchange, and that these relationships are largely robust to future uncertainty. Conversely, we find that policy durability and stability are only weakly linked to innovation outcomes, suggesting that adaptive policy responding to rapidly changing innovation environments should play an important part of the EU's energy future. |
主题 | Transitions to New Technologies (TNT) |
关键词 | Econometric analysis Energy technology innovation system Monte Carlo simulation Scenario analysis |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15875/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131572 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kim YJ. Analysing future change in the EU's energy innovation system.. 2019. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
1-s2.0-S2211467X1930(3708KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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