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来源类型Article
规范类型其他
DOI10.1016/j.esr.2019.04.012
Analysing future change in the EU's energy innovation system.
Kim YJ
发表日期2019
出处Energy Strategy Reviews 24: 279-299
出版年2019
语种英语
摘要We develop a novel approach for quantitatively analysing future storylines of change by combining econometric analysis and Monte Carlo simulation for four different storylines of change in the EU's energy innovation system. We explore impacts on three key innovation outcomes: patenting (innovation), co-invention (collaboration), and technology cost reduction (diffusion). We find that diverse mixes of policy instruments stimulate collaborative innovation activity. We find that both RD&D expenditure and trade imports support knowledge generation and exchange, and that these relationships are largely robust to future uncertainty. Conversely, we find that policy durability and stability are only weakly linked to innovation outcomes, suggesting that adaptive policy responding to rapidly changing innovation environments should play an important part of the EU's energy future.
主题Transitions to New Technologies (TNT)
关键词Econometric analysis Energy technology innovation system Monte Carlo simulation Scenario analysis
URLhttp://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15875/
来源智库International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131572
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Kim YJ. Analysing future change in the EU's energy innovation system.. 2019.
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