| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.3390/geosciences9010054 |
| Impacts of Earthquakes on Energy Security in the Eurasian Economic Union: Resilience of the Electricity Transmission Networks in Russia, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan. | |
| Iakubovskii D; Rovenskaya E; Krupenev D; Boyarkin D | |
| 发表日期 | 2019 |
| 出处 | Geosciences 9 (1): e54 |
| 出版年 | 2019 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | In our research, we focus on the reliability of the interconnected electricity supply system of three countries of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU)—Russia, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan. We apply a mathematical model to evaluate the reliability of the electricity supply system under the threat of earthquakes. Earthquakes can damage elements of electricity grids and, considering the interconnectivity of electricity supply systems in the EAEU, effects in the aftermath of earthquakes can be far-reaching and even transboundary. This necessitates the development of coordinated policies and risk management strategies to deal with electricity outage risks in the EAEU. In our study, the earthquake probability is derived from seismic zone maps, while damage events are computed using maps of energy power systems. In addition, we determine which elements of the system are susceptible to failure due to an earthquake of a given magnitude. We conduct a scenario analysis of earthquakes and their impacts on the reliability of the power supply system, considering potential energy losses and threats to energy security. An analysis of the resilience of electricity transmission grids allows us to determine the critical interconnection lines in terms of exposure to earthquake risk, as well as exposure to total systemic loss. We also identify the most critical interconnection lines where power outages can lead to the destabilization of the entire power supply system. Some examples of such lines are at the border of Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, where power outages can lead to serious economic costs and electricity outages. |
| 主题 | Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA) ; Young Scientists Summer Program (YSSP) |
| 关键词 | risk assessment natural hazards earthquake risk energy security reliability of power supply Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) integration process common electricity market |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15703/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131601 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Iakubovskii D,Rovenskaya E,Krupenev D,et al. Impacts of Earthquakes on Energy Security in the Eurasian Economic Union: Resilience of the Electricity Transmission Networks in Russia, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan.. 2019. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| geosciences-09-00054（2477KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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