| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41467-018-08275-7 |
| Resilience of the Eastern African electricity sector to climate driven changes in hydropower generation. | |
| Sridharan V; Broad O; Shivakumar A; Howells M; Boehlert B; Groves DG; Rogner H; Taliotis C | |
| 发表日期 | 2019 |
| 出处 | Nature Communications 10 (1) |
| 出版年 | 2019 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Notwithstanding current heavy dependence on gas-fired electricity generation in the Eastern African Power Pool (EAPP), hydropower is expected to play an essential role in improving electricity access in the region. Expansion planning of electricity infrastructure is critical to support investment and maintaining balanced consumer electricity prices. Variations in water availability due to a changing climate could leave hydro infrastructure stranded or result in underutilization of available resources. In this study, we develop a framework consisting of long-term models for electricity supply and water systems management, to assess the vulnerability of potential expansion plans to the effects of climate change. We find that the most resilient EAPP rollout strategy corresponds to a plan optimised for a slightly wetter climate compared to historical trends. This study demonstrates that failing to climate-proof infrastructure investments can result in significant electricity price fluctuations in selected countries (Uganda & Tanzania) while others, such as Egypt, are less vulnerable. |
| 主题 | Energy (ENE) ; Transitions to New Technologies (TNT) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15700/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131628 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sridharan V,Broad O,Shivakumar A,et al. Resilience of the Eastern African electricity sector to climate driven changes in hydropower generation.. 2019. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| s41467-018-08275-7.p（2700KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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