| 来源类型 | Article |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| DOI | 10.1093/wber/lhx016 |
| Optimal Climate Policy and the Future of World Economic Development. | |
| Budolfson M; Dennig F; Fleurbaey M; Scovronick N; Siebert A; Spears D; Wagner F | |
| 发表日期 | 2019 |
| 出处 | The World Bank Economic Review 33 (1): 21-40 |
| 出版年 | 2019 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | How much should the present generations sacrifice to reduce emissions today, in order to reduce the future harms of climate change? Within climate economics, debate on this question has been focused on so-called “ethical parameters” of social time preference and inequality aversion. We show that optimal climate policy similarly importantly depends on the future of the developing world. In particular, although global poverty is falling and the economic lives of the poor are improving worldwide, leading models of climate economics may be too optimistic about two central predictions: future population growth in poor countries, and future convergence in total factor productivity (TFP). We report results of small modifications to a standard model: under plausible scenarios for high future population growth (especially in sub-Saharan Africa) and for low future TFP convergence, we find that optimal near-term carbon taxes could be substantially larger. |
| 主题 | Air Quality & ; Greenhouse Gases (AIR) |
| 关键词 | climate change, climate policy, carbon tax, total factor productivity, population growth |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15327/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131646 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Budolfson M,Dennig F,Fleurbaey M,et al. Optimal Climate Policy and the Future of World Economic Development.. 2019. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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