全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): Energy transitions and social revolutions.

G2TT

来源类型	Article
规范类型	其他
DOI	10.1016/j.techfore.2018.08.010
	Energy transitions and social revolutions.
	Fischer-Kowalski M; Rovenskaya E; Krausmann F; Pallua I; Mc Neill JR
发表日期	2019
出处	Technological Forecasting and Social Change 138: 69-77
出版年	2019
语种	英语
摘要	The transition from a traditional agrarian to a fossil fuel based energy regime began before the industrial revolution and is still ongoing. This paper explores the relation of this transition process and social revolutions. Using statistical analysis, we find that at the very beginning of countries' energy transition, a critical phase can be identified, within which social revolutions are most likely to happen. This applies to the grand revolutions across the past five centuries investigated for a core set of industrial and emerging economies, as well as to supplementary samples of Latin American and post-World War II developing countries. No statistically significant relation between the historical time and the pace of transition towards modern fuels is found, which means that the energy transition does not accelerate. Among the sample of developing countries with revolutions after World War II we find an even slower pace of transition to an industrial energy regime. Apparently, transitions in primary energy source and energy abundance are not just a matter of technological change, but strongly interact with the social, institutional and political fabric of societies.
主题	Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA)
关键词	Energy transition Energy regime Fossil fuel use Social revolutions Energy return on investment (EROI)
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/15464/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/131653
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Fischer-Kowalski M,Rovenskaya E,Krausmann F,et al. Energy transitions and social revolutions.. 2019.