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来源类型 | Conference or Workshop Item (Poster) |
规范类型 | 其他 |
Development of Robust Land-use Decisions in Eastern Europe under Technology, Climate, and System Change: The Case of Ukraine. | |
Ermolieva T; Yermoliev Y; Atoyev KL; Golodnikov OM; Gorbachuk VM; Kiriljuk VS; Knopov PS | |
发表日期 | 2015 |
出处 | Systems Analysis 2015 - A Conference in Celebration of Howard Raiffa, 11 -13 November, 2015, Laxenburg, Austria |
出版年 | 2015 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | The states of Eastern Europe (Ukraine and all the adjacent European states Belarus, Hungary, Moldova, Poland, Romania, Slovakia) have experienced technology and system change in land use since the 1990s. Their total land area exceeds the land area of Mexico or Indonesia, their total gross domestic product (in current US dollars) is between those products of Mexico and Indonesia, and their total population is higher than population of the Russian Federation or Japan. Some Eastern European states are in the world top-five producers of corn, rye, oat, triticale, buckwheat, potato, carrot, turnip, apple, gooseberry, raspberry, blueberry, plum, currant, milk (sheep), honey, flax, and other agricultural goods. It is found the agricultural production value of Romania, Slovakia, and Ukraine has higher efficiency (in the terms of water and energy use) than that of Belarus, Moldova, Poland, and Hungary. Therefore, it was expected the regions of Ukraine bordering with Romania and Slovakia are of the highest agricultural productivity. This hypothesis is confirmed by the data of capital and labor use as well as the data of agricultural production value. At the lack of energy resources, in Ukraine water appears to be a critical agricultural production factor. Moreover, the regions of Ukraine experiencing a water deficit happened to be the most vulnerable ones substantiating the well-known hypothesis on growing role of water resources for sustainable development. Because a water demand depends on the weather conditions and climate changes, the robust land-use decisions are to be developed in order to contribute to the world food security. For instance, Ukraine is transforming from a global breadbasket to a global foodbasket attracting significant investments to food production and export. The strategic investments and operational land-use decisions are based on such modern systemic risk measures as (conditional) value-at-risk, robust variant of mean or maximum loss. |
主题 | Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/11768/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/132582 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ermolieva T,Yermoliev Y,Atoyev KL,et al. Development of Robust Land-use Decisions in Eastern Europe under Technology, Climate, and System Change: The Case of Ukraine.. 2015. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
Development%20of%20R(244KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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