| 来源类型 | Conference or Workshop Item (Paper) |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| Preserving the World Second Largest Hypersaline Lake Under Future Irrigation and Climate Change. | |
| Shadkam S; Ludwig F; van Vliet MTH; Pastor A; Kabat P | |
| 发表日期 | 2016 |
| 出处 | IDRiM 2016 7th International Conference on Integrated Disaster Risk Management Disasters and Development: Towards a Risk Aware Society, October 1-3, 2016, Isfahan, Islamic Republic of Iran |
| 出版年 | 2016 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Iran Urmia Lake, the world second largest hypersaline lake, has been largely desiccated over the last two decades resulting in socio-environmental consequences similar or even larger than the Aral Sea disaster. To rescue the lake a new water management plan has been proposed, a rapid 40% decline in irrigation water use replacing a former plan which intended to develop reservoirs and irrigation. However, none of these water management plans, which have large socio-economic impacts, have been assessed under future changes in climate and water availability. The Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrological model was forced with bias corrected climate model outputs for both the lowest (RCP2.6) and highest (RCP8.5) greenhouse-gas concentration scenarios to estimate future water availability and impacts of water management strategies. Results showed a 10% decline in future water availability in the basin under RCP2.6 and 27% under RCP8.5. Our results showed that if future climate change is highly limited (RCP2.6) inflow can be just enough to meet the lake requirements by implementing the reduction irrigation plan. However, under more rapid climate change scenario (RCP8.5) reducing irrigation water use will not be enough to save the lake and more drastic measures are needed. Our results showed that future water management plans are not robust under climate change in this region. Therefore, an integrated approach of future land-water use planning and climate change adaptation is therefore needed to improve future water security and to reduce the desiccating of this hypersaline lake. |
| 主题 | Directorate (DIR) |
| 关键词 | Urmia Lake, Hypersaline Lake, Climate Change, Irrigation, Reservoirs, Hydrological Model |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13880/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/132647 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Shadkam S,Ludwig F,van Vliet MTH,et al. Preserving the World Second Largest Hypersaline Lake Under Future Irrigation and Climate Change.. 2016. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| Preserving%20theWorl（198KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
