| 来源类型 | Conference or Workshop Item (Paper) |
| 规范类型 | 其他 |
| Scenarios to explore global food security up to 2050: Development process, storylines and quantification of drivers. | |
| van Dijk M; Gramberger M; Laborde D; Mandryk M; Shutes L; Stehfest E; Valin H; Zellmer K | |
| 发表日期 | 2016 |
| 出处 | International Association of Agricultural Economists 2015 Conference, 9-14 August 2015, Milan, Italy |
| 出版年 | 2016 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | To guide policymaking, decision makers require a good understanding of the long-term drivers of food security and their interactions. Scenario analysis is widely considered as the appropriate tool to assess complex and uncertain problems, such as food security. This paper describes the development process, storylines and drivers of four new global scenarios up to the year 2050 that are specifically designed for food security modelling. To ensure the relevance, credibility and legitimacy of the scenarios a highly participatory process is used, involving a diverse group of stakeholders. A novel approach is introduced to quantify a selection of key drivers that directly can be used as input in global integrated assessment models to assess the impact of aid, trade, agricultural and science policies on global food and nutrition security. |
| 主题 | Ecosystems Services and Management (ESM) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14002/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/132660 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | van Dijk M,Gramberger M,Laborde D,et al. Scenarios to explore global food security up to 2050: Development process, storylines and quantification of drivers.. 2016. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| Van%20Dijk-Scenarios（1274KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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