Gateway to Think Tanks
来源类型 | Conference or Workshop Item (Paper) |
规范类型 | 其他 |
A Scalable Approach to Modelling Health Impacts of Air Pollution Based on Globally Available Data. | |
Kiesewetter G; Schöpp W; Amann M | |
发表日期 | 2016 |
出处 | 8th International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software, “Supporting Sustainable Futures |
出版年 | 2016 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Integrated assessment of air pollution and its impacts typically requires pre-calculated atmospheric transfer relations on a fine spatial resolution. While such concepts have been applied successfully for Europe and other regions with high data coverage, extending calculations to world regions with low local data availability is challenging and needs to be based on globally available data sets. Here we introduce a scalable approach which has been developed to expand the calculations of health impacts from exposure to ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in the Greenhouse Gas-Air Pollution Interactions and Synergies (GAINS) integrated assessment model to (almost) any desired region on the globe, depending on actual requirements for policy analysis. We use global sensitivity simulations of the EMEP atmospheric chemistry transport model to derive linear transfer coefficients at a resolution of 0.5 degrees. A major challenge lies in the realistic representation of inner urban PM2.5 concentrations, which depend to a large extent on local pollution sources on scales below grid resolution. We derive sub-grid concentration increments from emission densities of primary PM from low-level sources, based on (almost) globally available gridded population data with approximately 100m resolution. From ambient PM2.5 concentrations, increased risk of mortality is then calculated following the methodology of the Global Burden of Disease studies. We have implemented and validated the described approach for India, China, and Indonesia, with extensions to other G-20 member countries underway. Health impact projections under different energy policy scenarios are discussed. Due to the inherent treatment of urban areas, the effects of urbanization trends are captured explicitly, which lead to higher average population exposure as people move into polluted cities. |
主题 | Air Quality & ; Greenhouse Gases (AIR) |
关键词 | particulate matter PM2.5 ambient air pollution health impacts downscaling |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14381/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/132677 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kiesewetter G,Schöpp W,Amann M. A Scalable Approach to Modelling Health Impacts of Air Pollution Based on Globally Available Data.. 2016. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
A%20Scalable%20Appro(191KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。