Gateway to Think Tanks
来源类型 | Book Section |
DOI | 10.1007/978-94-010-2288-0_6 |
On the Generalizability of Experimental Results. | |
Winkler RL; Murphy AH; Staël Von Holstein, C.-A.S. | |
发表日期 | 1974 |
出处 | The Concept of Probability in Psychological Experiments. Eds. Staël Von Holstein, C.-A.S. , pp. 103-126 Netherlands: Springer. ISBN 978-94-010-2288-0 DOI: 10.1007/978-94-010-2288-0_6 . |
出版年 | 1974 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | The age-old question of the generalizability of the results of experiments that are conducted in artificial laboratory settings to more realistic inferential and decision-making situations is considered in this paper. Conservatism in probability revision provides an example of a result that (1) has received wide attention, including attention in terms of implications for real-world decision making, on the basis of experiments conducted in artificial settings and (2) is now apparently thought by many to be highly situational and not at all a ubiquitous phenomenon, in which case its implications for real-world decision making are not as extensive as originally claimed. In this paper we consider the questions of generalizations from the laboratory to the real world in some detail, both within the context of the experiments regarding conservatism and within a more general context. In addition, we discuss some of the difficulties inherent in experimentation in realistic settings, suggest possible procedures for avoiding or at least alleviating such difficulties, and make a plea for more realistic experiments |
主题 | Energy Program (ENP) |
URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/14261/ |
来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/132859 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Winkler RL,Murphy AH,Staël Von Holstein, C.-A.S.. On the Generalizability of Experimental Results.. 1974. |
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