| 来源类型 | Book Section |
| Expert-based probabilistic population projections. | |
| Lutz W; Sanderson WC; Scherbov S; Lutz, W.; Vaupel, J.W.; Ahlburg, D.A. | |
| 发表日期 | 1999 |
| 出处 | Frontiers of Population Forecasting. Eds. Lutz, W. , Vaupel, J.W. & Ahlburg, D.A. , New York: Population Council. |
| 出版年 | 1999 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Most users of population projections are interested in one likely path of future population trends based on the best existing knowledge. Whether it is called the medium variant, central scenario, or median of an uncertainty distribution, this projected path will be taken as a forecast on which further considerations can be based. For many users such a best guess will suffice. It can be taken as an exogenous input into their own models for school planning, social security considerations, energy outlook, and the like. For this reason a medium projection is an indispensable component of any set of published projections intended for practical use. |
| 主题 | World Population (POP) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/5792/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/133598 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lutz W,Sanderson WC,Scherbov S,et al. Expert-based probabilistic population projections.. 1999. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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