全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): US socio-economic futures.

G2TT

来源类型	Book Section
	US socio-economic futures.
	O'Neill BC; Mueller, F.; Riechel, A.
发表日期	2005
出处	Options for Future Climate Policy: Transatlantic Perspectives. Eds. Mueller, F. & Riechel, A. , Berlin: SWP - German Institute for International and Security Affairs.
出版年	2005
语种	英语
摘要	US socio-economic trends will be important determinants of future energy demand, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions, as well as determinants of the impacts of climate change. These trends include demographic changes, trends in economic growth and its distribution across different sectors of the economy, and shifts in consumption patterns associated with changing lifestyles. Here I focus on demographic and lifestyle factors, highlight plausible alternative outcomes, and comment on their potential significance for future emissions. The timescale of focus is the next 20-100 years. In general, there is little that can meaningfully be said about these trends more than a century into the future, and the literature that attempts to do so is extremely sparse. It is taken as understood that none of these trends by themselves, nor even socio-economic factors considered together, would completely determine future emissions or vulnerability to impacts. Changes in technology, as well as political and institutional factors, in combination with socio-economic factors will co-determine emissions and vulnerability outcomes.
主题	Population and Climate Change (PCC)
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/7558/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/133878
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	O'Neill BC,Mueller, F.,Riechel, A.. US socio-economic futures.. 2005.