| 来源类型 | Book Section |
| DOI | 10.1007/978-1-4020-5930-8_5 |
| Modeling afforestation and the underlying uncertainties. | |
| Gusti M | |
| 发表日期 | 2007 |
| 出处 | Accounting for Climate Change. pp. 55-62 Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Springer. ISBN 978-1-4020-5930-8 DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4020-5930-8_5 . |
| 出版年 | 2007 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | A dynamic model of the carbon budget of an oak forest ecosystem that takes into account forest stand age was developed. A numerical experiment was designed to simulate the afforestation process, and a Monte Carlo simulation was performed to determine how parameter uncertainties and environmental variability influence the result. It was found that while the total amount of carbon stored in the ecosystem increases from 1.9 kg C/m2 to 4.4 kg C/m2 over the following 20 years, the relative standard deviation increases from 9 to 21%. The contribution of varying climate and carbon dioxide parameters to total uncertainty is substantial; for example, the standard deviation at the 10th modeling year for phytomass doubles and the uncertainties of the soil pool and total accumulated carbon increase by a factor of nearly 1.4, while the uncertainty of the litter pool stays almost at the same level. |
| 主题 | Forestry (FOR) |
| 关键词 | afforestation mathematical mode l Monte Carlo simulation uncertainty estimation |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/13194/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/133954 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Gusti M. Modeling afforestation and the underlying uncertainties.. 2007. |
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