| 来源类型 | Book Section |
| DOI | 10.1553/populationyearbook2007s237 |
| New times, old beliefs: Projecting the future size of religions in Austria. | |
| Goujon A; Skirbekk V; Fliegenschnee K; Strzelecki P | |
| 发表日期 | 2007 |
| 出处 | Vienna Yearbook of Population Research. pp. 237-270 Vienna, Austria: Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften. DOI: 10.1553/populationyearbook2007s237 . |
| 出版年 | 2007 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The relative sizes of secular and religious populations belong to the most important social characteristics of each country. In the wake of religious change, family behaviour, including marriage and childbearing, is likely to be altered. European demographic trends, including those of late childbearing and low fertility are also likely to change when there is a growth of religious groups where conversion/secularisation rates are low and childbearing levels are high. We project the membership size of the various religious groupings until 2051 for Austria, a country where the religion question is included in the census, allowing detailed and accurate projections to be made. We consider relative fertility rates, religion-specific emigration and immigration, conversion rates and intergenerational transmission of religious affiliation. Our estimates suggest that the Catholic proportion will decrease from 75% in 2001 to less than 50% in 2051. The Muslim population, which grew from 1% in 1981 to 4% in 2001, will represent 14% to 18% of the Austrian population by 2051, and could represent up to 32% of those below 15 years of age. The Protestants' population share will be stable at around 4%, while up to 34% of the population will be without religion. |
| 主题 | World Population (POP) |
| URL | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/8149/ |
| 来源智库 | International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/133964 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Goujon A,Skirbekk V,Fliegenschnee K,et al. New times, old beliefs: Projecting the future size of religions in Austria.. 2007. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| New%20times%2C%20old（371KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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