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来源类型	Book Section
DOI	10.1007/978-3-642-02132-9_5
	Optimal economic growth under stochastic environmental impact: Sensitivity analysis.
	Rovenskaya E; Cuaresma, J. Crespo; Palokangas, T.; Tarasyev, A.
发表日期	2010
出处	Dynamic Systems, Economic Growth, and the Environment. Eds. Cuaresma, J. Crespo , Palokangas, T. & Tarasyev, A. , Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag. ISBN 978-3-642-02131-2 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-02132-9_5 .
出版年	2010
语种	英语
摘要	In this work we present an approach toward the sensitivity analysis of optimal economic growth to a negative environmental impact driven by random natural hazards that damage the production output. We use a simplified model of the GDP growth. We assume that production leads to the increase of the atmospheric GHG provided investment in cleaning is insufficient. The hypothesis of the Poisson probability distribution of the frequency of natural hazards is used at the this research stage. We apply the stadard utility function-the discounted integral consumption and construct an optimal investment policy in production and cleaning together wth optimal GDP trajectories. We calibrate the model in the global scale and analyze the sensitivity of obtained optimal growth scenarios with respect to uncertain parameters of the Poisson distribution.
主题	Dynamic Systems (DYN)
URL	http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/9347/
来源智库	International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (Austria)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/134130
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Rovenskaya E,Cuaresma, J. Crespo,Palokangas, T.,et al. Optimal economic growth under stochastic environmental impact: Sensitivity analysis.. 2010.